Courses – Fakultet tehničkih nauka u Novom Sadu

Subject: Traffic forecasts (17.S1I591)

Native organizations units: Department of Traffic Engineering

Type of studies	Title
Master Academic Studies	Postal Traffic and Telecommunications (Godina: 1, Summer)

General information:

Category	Professional-applicative
Scientific or art field	Postal Traffic and Communications
Interdisciplinary	No
ECTS	4

Educational goal:

Acquiring knowledge in the field of application of new mathematical demand models. Application of computer technology for the purpose of analysis and forecast transportation demand on the national, regional and local-city level, as a function of the current and expected socio-economic and spatial development of areas which are the subject of analysis and forecast in relation to traffic demand.

Educational outcome:

Implementation, improvement and development of mathematical and statistical methods for the traffic demand forecasting. Acquisition of skills determining interdependencies between indicators of socio-economic development,traffic demand and traffic supply. Acquiring knowledge in the field of using modern computer programs application for the alignment of transport demand and supply.

Course content:

Basic concepts and definitions of traffic demand. Temporal and spatial concentration of demand: causes and consequences. Basic concepts of prediction and forecasting. The importance and role of forecasts and / or prediction of traffic planning. Methods and procedures of forecasting: time series, regression analysis, cross- classification - category analysis. Application of the theory of probability to forecast traffic demand. Statistical evaluations of forecast results. Basic concepts and definitions of traffic supply. Alignment methods of transport demand and supply. Computer programs for testing and simulation of the harmonization effects of transport demand and supply.

Teaching methods:

Lectures and practical exercises. This course enables students to perform independent assignment- seminar paper.

Literature:

Authors	Title	Year	Publisher	Language
Maletin, M.	Planiranje saobraćaja i prostora	2004	Građevinski fakultet, Beograd	Serbian language
Banister, D.	Transport Planning	2002	Spon Press, New York	English
Michael A.P.T, Peter W.B, William Y.	Understanding Traffic System	2000	Aldershot, England-USA	English
Valentina Radojičić	Prognoziranje u telekomunikacijama	2003	Saobraćajni fakultet	Serbian language

Knowledge evaluation:

Course activity	Pre-examination	Obligations	Number of points
Exercise attendance	Yes	Yes	5.00
Written part of the exam - tasks and theory	No	Yes	50.00
Oral part of the exam	No	Yes	20.00
Lecture attendance	Yes	Yes	5.00
Term paper	Yes	Yes	20.00