Courses – Fakultet tehničkih nauka u Novom Sadu

Subject: Transportation forecasting (17.S0I594)

Native organizations units: Department of Traffic Engineering

Type of studies	Title
Master Academic Studies	Traffic and Transport Engineering (Year: 1, Semester: Winter)

General information:

Category	Professional-applicative
Scientific or art field	Traffic Planning, Regulation and Safety
ECTS	6

Acquiring knowledge in the field of application and development of new mathematical traffic demand models. Application of computer technology for the purpose of analysis and forecast transportation demand on the national, regional and local-city level, as a function of the current and expected socio-economic and spatial development of areas which are the subject of analysis and forecast in relation to traffic demand.

Implementation, improvement and development of mathematical and statistical methods for the traffic demand forecasting. Acquisition of skills determining interdependencies between indicators of socio-economic development, land using, traffic demand and traffic supply. Acquiring knowledge in the field of using modern computer programs application for the testing transport policy effects and for the alignment of transport demand and supply.

Basic concepts and definitions of traffic demand. Temporal and spatial concentration of demand: causes and consequences. Basic concepts of prediction and forecasting. The importance and role of forecasts and / or prediction of traffic planning. Methods and procedures of forecasting: time series, regression analysis, cross- classification - category analysis. Application of the theory of probability to forecast traffic demand. Statistical evaluations of forecast results. Basic concepts and definitions of traffic supply, transport ability of vehicles, supply elements of transport networks. Alignment methods of transport demand and supply. Critical analysis of classical four step model. Target modal split model. Computer programs for testing and simulation of the harmonization effects of transport demand and supply.Appraisal of transport models.

Lectures, practical laboratory and computational exercises. This course enables students to perform independent assignment- seminar paper and examination through partial examinations.

Authors	Title	Year	Publisher	Language
Ortuzar, J.D., Willumsen, L.G.	Modelling Transport	2011	Wiley, Chichester	English
Road research	Urban traffic models - possibilities for simplification	1974	OECD	English
F.Koppelman, C.Bhat	A self Instructing Course in Mode Choice Modeling: Multinomial and Nested Logit Models	2006	U.S. Department of Transportation	English
Banister, D.	Transport Planning	2002	Spon Press, New York	English