KRATKOROČNA PROGNOZA PROIZVODNJE FOTONAPONSKE ELEKTRANE
Ključne reči:
metode predviđanja, fotonaponska elektrana, kratkoročno
Apstrakt
Predmet istraživanja ovog master rada je određivanje, poređenje i ispitivanje najefikasnijih metoda kratkoročnog predviđanja proizvodnje foto-naponskih sistema, u pogledu tačnosti, preciznosti i tehnoekonomske isplativosti. Izabrana metoda je testirana najednoj fotonaponskoj elektrani u Novom Sadu.
Reference
[1] M.A.Green, K. Emery, Y. Hishikawa, W. Warta, E. D. Dunlop, Solar cell efficiency tables (Version 45), Progress in Photovoltaics, 23 (1), 2015, pp. 1-9;
[2] Global market outlook for photovoltaics until 2014, 2014, EPIA;
[3] A.M. Ismail, R. Ramirez-Iniguez, M. Asif, A. B. Munir, F. Muhammed-Sukki, Progress of solar photovoltaic in ASEAN countries: A review, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 48 (2015), pp. 339-412
[4] Global market outlook for photovoltaics 2014-2018, EPIA
[5] Global landscape of Renewable Energy Finance. IRENA, 2018.
[6] Reikard G. Predicting solar radiation at high resolutions: a comparison of time series forecasts. Solar Energy 2009; 83: 342–9.
[7] Connecting the Sun-Solar Photovoltaics on the Road To Large Scale Grid Integration. EPIA, 2012.
[8] Antonanzas, J.; Osorio, N.; Escobar, R.; Urraca, R.; Martinez-De Pison, F.; Antonanzas-Torres, F. Review of photovoltaic power forecasting. Sol. Energy 2016, 136, 78–111.
[9] Antonanzas, J.; Osorio, N.; Escobar, R.; Urraca, R.; Martinez-De Pison, F.; Antonanzas-Torres, F. Review of photovoltaic power forecasting. Solar Energy 2016, 136, 78–111.
[10] Mills, A.; Wiser, R. Implications of Wide-Area Geographic Diversity for Short-Term Variability of Solar Power; Technical Report LBNL-3884E; Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory: Washington, DC, USA, Sept. 2010.
[11] B. Parida, S. Iniyan, R. Goic, A review of solar photovoltaic technologies, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 15 (2011), 3, pp. 1625-1636.
[12] Nespoli, A.; Ogliari, E.; Leva, S.; Massi Pavan, A.; Mellit, A.; Lughi, V.; Dolara, A. Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Forecasting: A Comparison of the Most Effective Techniques. Energies 2019, 12, 1621.
[13] IEA (2020), Solar PV, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/reports/solar-pv
[14] Agencija za energetiku Republike Srbije; dostupno na: https://www.aers.rs/
[2] Global market outlook for photovoltaics until 2014, 2014, EPIA;
[3] A.M. Ismail, R. Ramirez-Iniguez, M. Asif, A. B. Munir, F. Muhammed-Sukki, Progress of solar photovoltaic in ASEAN countries: A review, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 48 (2015), pp. 339-412
[4] Global market outlook for photovoltaics 2014-2018, EPIA
[5] Global landscape of Renewable Energy Finance. IRENA, 2018.
[6] Reikard G. Predicting solar radiation at high resolutions: a comparison of time series forecasts. Solar Energy 2009; 83: 342–9.
[7] Connecting the Sun-Solar Photovoltaics on the Road To Large Scale Grid Integration. EPIA, 2012.
[8] Antonanzas, J.; Osorio, N.; Escobar, R.; Urraca, R.; Martinez-De Pison, F.; Antonanzas-Torres, F. Review of photovoltaic power forecasting. Sol. Energy 2016, 136, 78–111.
[9] Antonanzas, J.; Osorio, N.; Escobar, R.; Urraca, R.; Martinez-De Pison, F.; Antonanzas-Torres, F. Review of photovoltaic power forecasting. Solar Energy 2016, 136, 78–111.
[10] Mills, A.; Wiser, R. Implications of Wide-Area Geographic Diversity for Short-Term Variability of Solar Power; Technical Report LBNL-3884E; Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory: Washington, DC, USA, Sept. 2010.
[11] B. Parida, S. Iniyan, R. Goic, A review of solar photovoltaic technologies, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 15 (2011), 3, pp. 1625-1636.
[12] Nespoli, A.; Ogliari, E.; Leva, S.; Massi Pavan, A.; Mellit, A.; Lughi, V.; Dolara, A. Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Forecasting: A Comparison of the Most Effective Techniques. Energies 2019, 12, 1621.
[13] IEA (2020), Solar PV, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/reports/solar-pv
[14] Agencija za energetiku Republike Srbije; dostupno na: https://www.aers.rs/
Objavljeno
2021-03-08
Sekcija
Elektrotehničko i računarsko inženjerstvo
